The Big Mo

A new Gallup poll has Kerry up 49-48 among likely voters. This poll previously showed a much larger lead for Bush than other polls. It also shows that Bush's approval rating in office has dropped to 47%. Anything less than 50% is bad news for an incumbent seeking reelection.

A Zogby tracking poll (Zogby was the most accurate pollster in 2000) done over the weekend has Kerry up by three points. The momentum from Friday's debate is Kerry, as it was from the first debate. The Gallup Poll showed Kerry winning the second debate by 45-30%.