There are lots and lots of questions about that third game between Indiana and Las Vegas, but there seems to me to be one factor that may have been decisive in both games: fatigue.
There is a quick turnaround in this first round of two days. Both the Valkyries and the Wings expended a lot of energy in game 2 in Dallas, scoring 100 or more when the game went into overtime. After getting thoroughly drubbed in the first game, Dallas had to go all out to win that game.
Back in Ballhalla for game 3, Golden State did not play their best against the Wings. They went cold and allowed a 20-0 run, which few teams survive. They were down 16 in the third quarter. But they are a deep team and Dallas is not. By the fourth quarter, the Wings were gassed. In the crucial last few minutes several shots were short, which suggests fatigue. Golden State had fresher legs and they prevailed in the closing minutes.
You can make a case that something similar happened in Las Vegas. The Fever--and Caitlin Clark in particular--expended immense energy to dominate game 2 in Indiana. Just two days later, they had flown to Vegas and were missing shots they usually make. In particular, Clark and Kelsey Mitchell were missing threes. Clark, who set all time records in that second game, did not dominate in the third. A'ja Wilson, the definition of a prima donna, who can bulldoze over opponents and still get the call, prevailed for the Aces. The Fever's depth is questionable, but in any case they rely on their starters, and they may have been worn down. The defending champion Aces' experience may have helped them deal with distributing their energies.
Now the Fever go home, where an offseason of changes is likely. There are many who want the coach's head, and there are questions of whether the Fever can financially afford their mighty trio of Clark, Mitchell and Boston, and at what cost to a deeper bench.
Golden State now hosts those same champion Aces in the semi-finals. The shock of the first round was New York defeating Minnesota, with the best record this season by far, in two games. Now the Valkyries are the winningest team left. The Aces are as experienced as the Vals are not, and they are peaking for the playoffs. The refs are always a particular wild card in the WNBA. But if Golden State can get past the Aces, they stand a very good chance of winning the championship in only their second year in the league.





