New Votes

The polls are showing an even race, experts warn that an incumbent who isn't getting better than 50% is in trouble, and now the long rumored surge in new registration is impressive enough to get coverage in the mainstream media, as in this New York Times story:

The New York Times > Washington > Campaign 2004 > Voters: As Deadlines Hit, Rolls of Voters Show Big Surge

Other stories indicate the gains are in urban areas, especially in PA, Ohio and Florida. These new voters aren't being counted in the polls. The polls are also likely behind in their estimates of newer "groups" like Muslims who may or may not constitute a voting bloc. However, one story says that the Kerry campaign is making significant inroads with a large Muslim population in Florida.

We keep having visions of black voters and other voters who were kept from voting or didn't have their votes counted in Florida in 2000, marching en masse to voting places on November 2 and demanding their rights. The polls don't measure emotion.