Friday, April 21, 2023

Heroes

 The Golden State Warriors we were waiting for showed up on Thursday night in a wire-to-wire 17 point victory to make this a 2-1 series going into the fourth game on Sunday, again on their home court.

Of the three Dubs designated as "questionable" before the game, only Gary Payton II didn't play.  Nevertheless the defense was good, which Coach Kerr attributed to the two key factors: rebounding and taking care of the ball.  Both prevented Sacramento from a lot of transition opportunities.

As predicted, Sabonis (designated questionable) did play and was roundly booed every time he touched the ball.  The Golden State fans played their part in this victory, but it was consistent play along with heroics that led to the win.  Nobody not named Curry had a good shooting night, but many had key buckets because they kept their heads up.  The main heroes of the game were Steph Curry for his magic play and leadership (his 6 threes from beyond 28 ft. set a long distance NBA playoff record) and especially Kevon Looney for his relentless rebounding (20) including key offensive rebounds, and his perfect 9 assists on 9 passes.  I remember how the Warriors stuck with Looney when he was injured at the beginning of his career.  He's become absolutely essential.

A secondary hero would be Moses Moody who in his first meaningful minutes of the series scored 13 points including some key 3s in the first half, and played inspired defense.  On Friday, several players spoke about Draymond's pep talk to them on Wednesday before the game.  These players gave it weight.  They respect his leadership.  On the court the inspirational leader was Curry, with his play and his communication and his overall affect.

Wiggins was consistent despite his shoulder soreness, but J. Poole had a bad shooting day on that ankle.  Still, he made some good decisions that led to points.  He is unlikely to have a breakout game until the ankle heals.  

While this was a game to be cherished, it won't mean a lot if the Warriors don't show up like this again on Sunday.  They must even the series and instill some doubt in their opponent.  Draymond will be back and likely Payton.  Let's hope the chemistry remains.  And you know who is about due for a big game? Klay Thompson.     

Wednesday, April 19, 2023

Suspense and Suspension

Wednesday update: Think it couldn't get worse for the Warriors on Thursday?  Three key players--Andrew Wiggins, Gary Payton II and J. Poole--are all listed as "questionable" for the game.  In the playoffs, "questionable" usually means they're playing hurt (or sick), but anything less than heroic performances by these three and the Dubs don't pull it off.  So it's now an even steeper mountain to climb.

Today's sentiment, reportedly within the Warriors team and organization, as well as among NBA players and media, is that Draymond's suspension is a major mistake by the NBA.  It may not turn out to be Green who loses his job because of this.

Tuesday post:

 Under Coach Kerr, the Golden State Warriors had never been down two games to none in any playoff series.  Under Coach Kerr, the Warriors have never lost a playoff series to a Western Conference opponent.  The first precedent has been broken in the current playoff series against the Sacramento Kings.  And with the suspension of Draymond Green for the next game, the second becomes more likely to be broken as well.

In the fourth quarter, when Sabonis held on to Green's foot, Green tramped down on Sabonis' chest.  Sabonis got a technical foul but Green got a flagrant 2 was ejected, and the Warriors lost. The NBA announced the suspension, with the deciding factor apparently being Green's record of "poor sportsmanship." Later the Kings announced that Sabonis had a chest contusion and was Questionable for the third game. 

The suspension decision is questionable on several grounds, including some nasty ones.  But as Draymond is so fond of saying, it is what it is.  So a couple of things are likely in game three at Golden State, in order of likelihood: first, Sabonis will play; second, the Warriors will win. 

If the Warriors don't win and lose the series, and perhaps even if they do win this game and lose the series, or even if they don't get to the finals, Draymond Green's time at Golden State might be just about up.  It doesn't take a tactical genius to figure out by now that if you provoke him even in the playoffs he will take the bait, and hurt his team.  Everyone remembers that they lost a key game and then the championship in a similar situation.  And at the time they were up 3 games to 1, not in a must-win game.  Draymond Green is a unique and a great player.  But if you add The Punch into the equation, this could be strike three.  

Truly this could be serious.  Because Draymond not only put his own job in jeopardy, but that of Bob Myers (needing a contract to continue) and ultimately Coach Kerr. This season Green seemed to play himself back into the good graces of management, and now this.

Even before the suspension was announced, media coverage turned as downbeat on the Warriors' prospects as it had previously been positive.  On their home court the young King team was unintimidated and proved resilient in crunch time, holding on for close victories in both games.  The Warriors did not get away with less than a complete game, let alone a sloppy second game.  It is the Warriors now that must play a nearly perfect game to win.

And they must continue to play at a higher level just to get out of this series.  As a series goes on, the more experienced team generally has the advantage.  But that might not be the case this time.  The Dubs have to play heroically, and/or their coaches have to find and exploit some weakness in the Kings that hasn't yet been apparent, either with game plans or lineup rotations.  And that's just to even the series at home.

It's not that the Kings have proven to be the better team.  It's just likely that the teams are more evenly matched that supposed.  It could become like the great Lakers-Kings series, which went seven games, and turned on one play in the fifth game.   

Sunday, April 16, 2023

First Test

 It made me nervous--how positive the pundits were before the first round series started that Golden State would prevail, perhaps easily.  The Warriors themselves were said to be very confident.

One way to look at the Sacramento King's first game victory is that if they were to win any game it would be this one--their first one since (if I'm not mistaken) Shaq was playing against them.  The entire city seemed to be cheering them on.  Another way is to suggest that they needed to play almost a perfect game, and with a lot of luck (and a lot of calls going their way), to beat the Warriors, almost at full strength.  Wiggins was back but was gassed enough at the end to miss a wide open 3 that might have been the winning shot.  The Warriors did not lose from overconfidence. Maybe from fouling too much.

After the game, the Warriors still seemed confident.  Game 2 is not an absolute must win, but pretty close.  The game after a defeat is where you'd expect championship pedigree and playoff experience to show.   

But the game 1 winner usually has an outsized advantage.  The Kings now know they can in fact beat the defending champs in a playoff game.  What might have been bravado before the game is confidence after it.  Now it's up to the Dubs to prove that they aren't just a little short of playoff caliber this year.