Monday, June 02, 2008

The Big Day Before

So here's the buzz: Hillary may (or may not) suspend her campaign tomorrow evening (Tuesday), in a speech in New York. Signs are strong that she is finishing her campaign, but I rate a concession tomorrow as doubtful. I think it is more likely Wednesday in Washington. But signs are that it is coming, though with the Hillaryites, you can never be sure.

The buzz is also that Obama campaign is trying to get enough super d's to declare tomorrow so he will be able to declare that he's passed the Obamagic Number for the nomination when Montana and South Dakota delegates are counted. How close is he? The NBC count gives Obama 4 super d's today, moving his Obamagic number to 39.5.

Rep. Jim Clyburn of the House leadership is declaring for Obama tomorrow, and is actively calling other super d's to do the same. Chuck Todd reports the rumors that some 34 House members and a dozen to 17 Senators are set to endorse Obama this week, most of them by Wednesday. But how many tomorrow? Obama is expected to get about 17 delegates from the two contests tomorrow. If he gets at least 23 super d's during the day and evening, then he can declare victory.

Buzz is also that Obama and Clinton have talked, and that their staffs have started talking. But if Clinton is serious about doing all she can to help Obama win, she will concede tomorrow so he can use the national audience he will get to start the general election campaign, as the presumptive candidate of a uniting party. But it is much more likely that the Hillaryites will serve her ego, and Bill's, and glorify themselves tomorrow, then concede quietly a day or a week later.

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