Monday, March 06, 2023

Stretch

 Downs and ups.  Ups and downs.  ("He bounces it he bounces it he bounces it.")

The All-Star break was the time to renew and regroup and focus, everyone connected with the Golden State Warriors said.  Then their first game back in Los Angeles they looked lost, and they did lose, to the Lakers, without LeBron.  Things looked grim.  Steph Curry was out for another week or so, Andrew Wiggins was out indefinitely due to an undisclosed family crisis, so the Dubs went into a crucial 5 game home stand without two of their starters, and their veteran reserves--Andre Iguodala and Gary Payton II--injured and unavailable. 

But the new lineup suddenly jelled, Klay Thompson became the transcendent force that Steph had been, and they won all five, moving up several notches in the standings, with not only the playoffs but home court in sight.  And then Curry and Iguodala returned!

And they lost to the LeBronless Lakers again, again in Los Angeles.  And lost Anthony Lamb, a key player in the streak, for this crucial road trip, before they return to face the top teams of the West and the East. (They are expected to sign him for the last roster spot, however.)

The good news, everyone said, was that Curry looked great in his first game back.  Curry always looks great in his first game back, and then has a less great game or two before he attains consistency.  There is the further question of whether the chemistry attained in the home stand can be revived--in other words, the Warriors can win without him, but can they win with him?  That seems a heretical question, or at least a dumb one.  But maybe reestablishing that chemistry isn't automatic.  Maybe a key to their streak was Kuminga, Poole and DiVincenzo starting and getting heavy minutes.

Statistically the bigger problem is that the Warriors have a top winning record at home, and a bottom scraping record on the road--and of their remaining games, only six are at home (including the division leaders Denver and the Bucks) and eleven on the road.  Is this in fact a bigger problem?  Only if the team psyches itself out.  A team with the Warriors' talent pool and game-specific coaching that has that chemistry and flow--that defends, rebounds, and doesn't foul, and on offense takes care of the ball and moves it to the best shot on offense, is going to win anywhere.   

Even at this stage in the season, the division is dynamic.  The Clippers are in trouble if they don't right their ship; on the other hand, Phoenix is likely to win a higher percentage of games with Kevin Durant.  So nobody knows what can happen.  The Warriors might even sneak into the playoffs with a .500 percentage from the end of their recent home stand.  But every win in the regular season eases their tasks in the playoffs, should they get there.  Maybe it won't matter, but I can't help feeling this latest and last loss to the Lakers is going to hurt.

Anyway, the home stand was fun at least, even if things get tense from here on out.

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