Results

730: I just lost everything I wrote--drat this blogger! So Indiana is now officially too close to call, Hillary is supposed to be speaking but what does she say? Obama gave his strong general election speech, and no matter what happens now in Indiana, it's Obama's night. It could be an hour or more before the last 300,000 votes come in from the Gary area. I thought that would be a crucial area of the state, but I never guessed this. However, the Obama people told Chuck Todd that they may have come up 10,000 votes short, while Polbano figures 23,000, which gives Clinton under a 2% victory.

450: A couple of interesting notes from exit polls. Some 60% of North Carolina voters made up their minds a month ago or more. So all this kerfluffle over the past 3 weeks was irrelevant to them. And some 7% of Hillary's voters in Indiana say they would be dissatisfied if she got the nomination, indicating these are the Operation Chaos Republicans, (plus people who misunderstood the question.) The numbers people online are seeing their models shattered in Indiana, though both ways. Indiana may all depend on the turnout and margins for Obama in Indianapolis and especially Gary (which has yet to report any votes.) It's still possible that Hillary will win by double digits, or Obama will squeak out a win.

4:32pm Pacific
Networks call North Carolina immediately for Obama, presaging a big win. Indiana is still not called, a half hour after polls closed in all parts of the state, and a hour and a half after most polls closed. So now the cable gab is about Obama.

2:55pmPacific
I'll just keep updating this without noting updates. The polls haven't yet closed but the first piece of exit poll data may be all that super-delegates need to know: Obama is getting 92% of the African American vote in Indiana, and 91% in North Carolina. If that bears out in the results, it shows an unswerving loyalty to Obama by the most important single voting bloc in the Democratic Party.