Early analysis shows turnout in Ohio, Florida, PA and Michigan is heaviest in African-American and Latino districts, in Democratic precincts and precincts that went to Gore in 2000.

Reporters on the scene in Ohio say lots of young people and new voters. Rain is crossing Ohio but so far voter turnout is high in Cleveland, Columbus and across the state.

Indiana, Kentucky and Virginia are the first to close polls in about 2.5 hours. Virginia may be the first harbinger: if it's close, or Kerry wins it, it suggests a big Kerry night. If it goes to Bush, that's expected.

Ohio and North Carolina close at 7:30, though if there still are lines, polls won't close until everyone in line has voted. Look at NC: if projections are slow or Kerry wins. If there's an early call for Kerry in Ohio, it's time to get the champagne ready to pop at 8.

Then at 8, other eastern states, and the returns take shape.